Abidjan, 31 May 2023 – The International Cocoa Organization today releases its revised forecasts for the 2022/23 cocoa year and revised estimates of world production, grindings and stocks of cocoa beans for the 2021/22 cocoa year. The data published in Issue No. 2 – Volume XLIX – Cocoa year 2022/23 of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, reflect the most recent information available to the Secretariat as at the beginning of May 2023.
One certainty for the ongoing 2022/23 season is the occurrence of a supply deficit, although compared to the 2021/22 season, the 2022/23 global production is projected to increase by 3.4% to 4.980 million tonnes. Grindings are expected to rise by 1.5% to 5.072 million tonnes.
Although a positive growth in cocoa production is underway for the season under review, yields are likely to be impacted by the weather such as the looming El Niño as well as other factors including diseases, fertilizer inputs, husbandry practices among others.
With regards to the increase in cocoa grindings, the commentary of the Bulletin highlights the recent efforts by top producing countries to move towards the downstream products instead of exporting raw cocoa beans. Indeed, cocoa processing has held up well at origin and this may have caused unintended adverse consequences such as low exports of cocoa beans from top producing countries to importing countries.
Another market development pointed out in the Bulletin is the build-up of cocoa inventories at the exchange, despite the assurance of a supply deficit for the 2022/23 season. Certain possibilities alluded to the relatively high level of stocks at the exchange are mentioned.
A review of price developments on international markets for cocoa beans during the January-March quarter of 2023 is also presented.
Summary of forecasts and revised estimates
Cocoa year
(Oct-Sep) |
2020/2021 |
2021/2022 |
Year-on-year change |
|
Revised
estimates |
Previous
forecasts a/ |
Revised
forecasts |
|
|
(thousand tonnes) |
(Per cent) |
World gross production |
4 818 |
5 017 |
4 980 |
+ 162 |
+ 3.4% |
World grindings |
4 995 |
5 027 |
5 072 |
+ 77 |
+ 1.5% |
Surplus/deficit b/ |
– 225 |
– 60 |
– 142 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
End-of-season stocks |
1 774 |
1 652 |
1 632 |
– 142 |
– 8.0% |
Stocks/Grindings ratio |
35.5% |
32.9% |
32.2% |
|
|
Notes:
a/ Estimates published in Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, Vol. XLIX – No. 1 – Cocoa year 2022/23
b/ Surplus/deficit: net world crop (gross crop adjusted for loss in weight) minus grindings. Totals may differ due to rounding
Statistical information on trade in cocoa beans, cocoa products and chocolate, by country and by region, published in this edition, covers annual data from 2019/20 to 2021/22 and quarterly statistics for the period April-June 2021 to October-December 2022. Details on destinations of exports and origins of imports for leading cocoa exporting countries are also provided.
Copies of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, in Microsoft Excel and Adobe PDF formats, can be ordered from the new ICCO e-Shop: www.icco.org/shop or by email: statistics.section@icco.org
ED(MEM) 1212 – Meeting Logistics October 2023
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Call for bids to host the 3rd edition of the International Symposium on Cocoa Research, 2025
Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, 31 July 2023. The Executive Director of the International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) is pleased to announce that the ICCO Members will select the country hosting the 3rd edition of the International Symposium on Cocoa Research (ISCR), scheduled for the second semester of 2025, during the 108th regular session of the International Cocoa Council in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, in October 2023.
The International Symposium on Cocoa Research (ISCR), organised by the ICCO, is a 4-day event during which cocoa scientists from different academic disciplines exchange their latest findings and agree on priorities for collective actions. A Scientific Committee, to be established by the ICCO, will be in charge of the programme and the selection of abstracts to be presented at the Symposium under the guidance of the ICCO Secretariat. The 1st edition of the ISCR was held in Lima, Peru in November 2017; and the 2nd edition was held in Montpellier, France in December 2022.
To ensure equal representation as ISCR hosts between exporting and importing ICCO Members and within each group of Members, the Secretariat is inviting exporting ICCO Members from Africa or Asia to send to the Secretariat their official bids to host this event by 01 September 2023, close of business.
For further information or enquiries about bidding for the 3rd International Symposium on Cocoa Research, please contact Mr José Jiménez Puerta, Economist, International Cocoa Organization; tel: +225 27 22 51 49 60; email: jose.jimenez-puerta@icco.org
ED(MEM) 1211 WCC5 Exhibition Concessionary Rates
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Cocoa Market Report for June 2023
Abidjan, 17 July 2023 – The International Cocoa Organization releases the Cocoa Market Report for June 2023. The current report highlights the following insights:
You can download the complete report by clicking here.
ED(MEM) 1210 Working Group on Staff Regulations and Staff Rules
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ED(MEM) 1209 – Manual of Pesticide Use in Cocoa
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ED(MEM) 1208 – WCC5 Programme Revision
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Cocoa Market Report for May 2023
Abidjan, 20 June 2023 – The International Cocoa Organization releases the Cocoa Market Report for May 2023. The current report highlights the following insights:
You can download the complete report by clicking here.
ED(MEM) 1207 – Call for bids to host ISCR2025
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May 2023 Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics
Abidjan, 31 May 2023 – The International Cocoa Organization today releases its revised forecasts for the 2022/23 cocoa year and revised estimates of world production, grindings and stocks of cocoa beans for the 2021/22 cocoa year. The data published in Issue No. 2 – Volume XLIX – Cocoa year 2022/23 of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, reflect the most recent information available to the Secretariat as at the beginning of May 2023.
One certainty for the ongoing 2022/23 season is the occurrence of a supply deficit, although compared to the 2021/22 season, the 2022/23 global production is projected to increase by 3.4% to 4.980 million tonnes. Grindings are expected to rise by 1.5% to 5.072 million tonnes.
Although a positive growth in cocoa production is underway for the season under review, yields are likely to be impacted by the weather such as the looming El Niño as well as other factors including diseases, fertilizer inputs, husbandry practices among others.
With regards to the increase in cocoa grindings, the commentary of the Bulletin highlights the recent efforts by top producing countries to move towards the downstream products instead of exporting raw cocoa beans. Indeed, cocoa processing has held up well at origin and this may have caused unintended adverse consequences such as low exports of cocoa beans from top producing countries to importing countries.
Another market development pointed out in the Bulletin is the build-up of cocoa inventories at the exchange, despite the assurance of a supply deficit for the 2022/23 season. Certain possibilities alluded to the relatively high level of stocks at the exchange are mentioned.
A review of price developments on international markets for cocoa beans during the January-March quarter of 2023 is also presented.
Summary of forecasts and revised estimates
(Oct-Sep)
estimates
forecasts a/
forecasts
Notes:
a/ Estimates published in Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, Vol. XLIX – No. 1 – Cocoa year 2022/23
b/ Surplus/deficit: net world crop (gross crop adjusted for loss in weight) minus grindings. Totals may differ due to rounding
Statistical information on trade in cocoa beans, cocoa products and chocolate, by country and by region, published in this edition, covers annual data from 2019/20 to 2021/22 and quarterly statistics for the period April-June 2021 to October-December 2022. Details on destinations of exports and origins of imports for leading cocoa exporting countries are also provided.
Copies of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, in Microsoft Excel and Adobe PDF formats, can be ordered from the new ICCO e-Shop: www.icco.org/shop or by email: statistics.section@icco.org