Monthly Review of the Cocoa Market Situation, Aug 2007

The Review shows graphically the evolution of ICCO daily prices from 1-30 August 2007.

It also illustrates price movements on the London (LIFFE) and New York (NYBOT) markets as well as the ICCO daily prices for the period June-August 2007.

Aug 2007 Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics

The latest QBCS contains revised forecasts for the current 2006/07 cocoa year of world production, grindings and stocks of cocoa beans. The data published in issue No. 3 – Volume XXXIII – Cocoa year 2006/07 of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, reflect the most information available to the Secretariat as at the beginning of August 2007.

Summary of forecasts and revised estimates

Cocoa year (Oct-Sep) 2006/2007 2007/08 Year-on-year change
 Previous estimates a/  Revised estimates  Forecasts
(thousand tonnes)  (Per cent)
World production 3 716  3 444 3 435 -281  -7.6%
World grindings 3 495  3 555  3 557  +62 +1.8%
Surplus/deficit b/ +184  – 145 -156
End-of-season stocks 1 864  1 737  1 708 -156 -8.4%
Stocks/Grindings ratio 53.3%  48.9% 48.0%

Notes:
a/ Forecasts published in Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, Vol. XXXIII – No. 2 – Cocoa year 2006/07
b/ Surplus/deficit: net world crop (gross crop adjusted loss in weight) minus grindings
Totals and differences may differ due to rounding.

This issue of the Bulletin contains the Secretariat’s revised forecasts for the 2006/2007 cocoa year as well as data for the past four years of production and grindings of cocoa beans, detailed by country.  The main features of the global cocoa market are illustrated in colour charts.  In addition, it includes comments on crop and demand prospects in the leading countries for the current season, and a review of price developments in international markets for cocoa beans during the April-June quarter of 2007.

Statistical information on trade in cocoa beans, cocoa products and chocolate, by country and by region, published in this edition covers annual data from 2003/04 to 2005/06 and quarterly statistics for the period April-June 2005 to October-December 2006.  Details of origin of imports and destination of exports for leading cocoa-importing countries are also provided.  Historical statistics on cocoa trade and consumption, by country and by region, for the period 1997/98 to 2005/06 are presented for reference.

Copies of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, including Microsoft Excel files and Adobe PDF format can be ordered from the ICCO Secretariat at the address below:

International Cocoa Organization
Commonwealth House
1-19 New Oxford Street
London WC1A 1NU
Tel:  +44 (0)20 7400 5050
Fax: +44 (0)20 7421 5500
E-mail: info@icco.org

ICCO Monthly Review of the Cocoa Market, July 2007

The current review of the cocoa market situation reports on price movements on the international markets during the month of July 2007.

The current 2006/07 season is expected to experience a significant production deficit. The ICCO Secretariat will soon release its revised forecasts for the 2006/07 season in the next issue of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics.

Preventing and managing the global spread of cocoa pests and pathogens: lessons from the Witches’ Broom disease of cocoa

DURATION:
  Five months
LOCATION:
 Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire
NATURE OF PROJECT:
 Sustainable cocoa production
ESTIMATED TOTAL COST:
 US$ 201,930
FINANCING COMMITED BY CFC:
  US$ 107,993
CO-FINANCING:
  US$ 86,688
COUNTERPART FINANCING:
  US$ 5,250
PROJECT EXECUTING AGENCY (PEA):
  CABI International
PROJECT SUPERVISORY BODY:
 International Cocoa Organization (ICCO)
PROJECT STARTING DATE:
  July 2007
COMPLETION DATE:
  December 2007

 

Brief Description

The international workshop discussed the lessons learned from the results of the Witches’ broom project. It reviewed the current status and the spread of major cocoa pests and pathogens. Finally, the workshop formulated the bases for a worldwide strategy and contingency plan to prevent the introduction of and/or management of major cocoa pests and pathogens. The outputs of the project provided the inputs for a major project global project to minimise losses from the spread of pests and pathogens through the establishment of “early warning” and “early action” systems.

 
Project Objectives

The main objective of the project was to organize an international workshop to present the results of the Witches’ Broom project and to build consensus on the approach and contents of a worldwide initiative to address the threat and impact of the further spread of cocoa pests and pathogens.

 
Project Results

The international workshop agreed on a strategy that outlined actions to be carried out to prevent the globalization of cocoa pests and pathogens and to manage the situation in the worst case scenario of an outbreak of pests and pathogens. Key action points that would form the basis of a global project were also identified.

Click here to download the Workshop Report

 

Bird’s Eye View of ICCO June meetings

The ICCO hosted the 13th meeting of the Consultative Board on the World Cocoa Economy at its London offices on 4 June 2007.  Under the Chairmanship of Mr Tony Lass, the Board deliberated on the Methodology for the Cocoa Value Chain Analysis Project; the document on Sustainable Cocoa Economy:  A Comprehensive and Participatory Approach; and preparations for the Round Table on a Sustainable World Cocoa Economy.

From 5-7 June, the meetings of the Executive Committee, Promotion Committee, Market Committee and the Expert Working Group on Quality were held in the Board Room of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

At its 133rd meeting, chaired by Ms Irina Medvedeva, the Executive Committee discussed financial, administrative and budgetary matters.  Members also reviewed a progress report on projects and a report of the ICCO action plan on pesticide residues.  The Committee also approved a major project on supply chain management to be submitted to the Common Fund for financing.

Mr Steve Wateridge, chaired the Promotion Committee’s 11th meeting.  Discussions were held on consumption promotion in the Russian Federation and preparations for an international conference on the health and nutritional benefits of cocoa.

The 10th meeting of the Market Committee, under Chairman Mr Tano Kassi Kadio, discussed among other things, the world cocoa market situation, cocoa resources, and fine or flavour cocoa.

Monthly Review of the Cocoa Market Situation — May 2007

The current review reports on price movements on the international markets during the month of May 2007.

In May, the ICCO daily price averaged US$2 005, up by US$28 compared to the average price recorded in the previous month (US$1 977) and ranged between US$1 921 and US$2 070.

June 2007 Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics

The latest QBCS contains revised forecasts for the current 2006/07 cocoa year of world production, grindings and stocks of cocoa beans. The data published in this issue, Vol. XXXIII No. 2, Cocoa year 2006/07, reflect the most recent information available to the ICCO Secretariat as at the beginning of May 2007.

Summary of forecasts and revised estimates

Cocoa year (Oct-Sep) 2006/2007 2007/08 Year-on-year change
 Previous estimates a/  Revised estimates  Forecasts
(thousand tonnes)  (Per cent)
World production 3 721  3 472  3 444  -277  -7.4%
World grindings 3 492  3 540  3 555 +63  +1.8%
Surplus/deficit b/ +192 -103  -145
End-of-season stocks  1 882 1 757  1 737  -145  -7.7%
Stocks/Grindings ratio 53.9%  49.6% 48.9%

Notes:
a/ Forecasts published in Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, Vol. XXXIII – No. 1 – Cocoa year 2006/07
b/ Surplus/deficit: net world crop (gross crop adjusted loss in weight) minus grindings
Totals and differences may differ due to rounding.

This issue also contains:

  • Data, by country, for the past four years of production and grindings of cocoa beans
  • Comments on crop and demand prospects in the leading countries for the current season
  • A review of price developments in international markets for cocoa beans during the January-March quarter of 2007
  • Statistical information on trade in cocoa beans, cocoa products and chocolate, by country and by region. This covers annual data from 2003/04 to 2005/06 and quarterly statistics for the period January-March 2005 to July-September 2006
  • Details of destination of export and origin of imports for leading cocoa-exporting countries
  • Historical statistics on cocoa trade and consumption, by country and by region, for the period 1997/98 to 2005/06

Current and back issues of the Bulletin, including Microsoft Excel files and Adobe PDF format for Windows operating system can be ordered from the Secretariat or by clicking on the order form.

International Cocoa Organization
Commonwealth House
1-19 New Oxford Street
London WC1A 1NU
Tel: +44 (0)20 7400 5050
Fax: +44 (0)20 7421 5500
E-mail: info@icco.org

Monthly Review of the Cocoa Market Situation April 2007

The current review of the cocoa market situation reports on cocoa price movements on the international markets during the month of April 2007.

Chart I shows the evolution of the ICCO daily prices in US dollars and in SDRs.  Chart II illustrates ICCO daily prices and cocoa bean prices on the London and New York futures markets from February to April 2007.  Chart III shows the level of volatility of ICCO daily prices since the beginning of the 2005/2006 cocoa season.

Monthly review of the cocoa market situation

We are pleased to announce that the review of the cocoa market situation for March 2007 is currently available.

March 2007 Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics

The International Cocoa Organization released its first forecasts for 2006/07 and revised estimates for the 2005/2006 cocoa year of world production grindings and stocks of cocoa beans. The data, summarized below, are published in issue No. 1 – Volume XXXIII – Cocoa year 2006/07 of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics and reflect the most recent information available to the Secretariat as at end January 2007.

Summary of forecasts and revised estimates

Cocoa year (Oct-Sep) 2006/2007 2007/08 Year-on-year change
 Previous estimates a/  Revised estimates  Forecasts
(thousand tonnes)  (Per cent)
World production 3 592 3 675  3 472 -203 -5.5%
World grindings  3 476 3 462 3 540 +78 +2.3%
Surplus/deficit b/ +80  +176  -103
End-of-season stocks 1 767 1 860 1 757  -103 -5.5%
Stocks/Grindings ratio 50.8% 53.7%  49.6%

Notes:
a/ Estimates published in Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, Vol. XXXII – No. 4 – Cocoa year 2005/06
b/ Surplus/deficit: net world crop (gross crop adjusted loss in weight) minus grindings
Totals and differences may differ due to rounding.

This issue of the Bulletin also contains statistical information for the past four years of production and grindings of cocoa beans, detailed by country. In addition, it comments on crop and demand prospects in the leading countries for the current season and provides a review of the price developments in international markets for cocoa beans during the October – December quarter of 2006.

Statistical information on trade in cocoa beans, cocoa products and chocolate, by country and region, published in this edition covers annual data from 2002/03 to 2004/05 and quarterly statistics for the period October – December 2004 to April – June 2006. Details of origin of imports and destination of exports for leading cocoa-importing countries are also provided. Historical statistics on cocoa trade and consumption, by country and region, for the period 1996/97 to 2004/05 are presented for reference.

Copies of the Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics, including Microsoft Excel files and Adobe PDF format for Windows operating system can be ordered from the ICCO secretariat at the address below or by clicking on the order form.

International Cocoa Organization
Commonwealth House
1-19 New Oxford Street
London WC1A 1NU
Tel: +44 (0)20 7400 5050
Fax: +44 (0)20 7421 5500
E-mail: info@icco.org