London, 28 January 2016 -- The ICCO Expert Working Group on Stocks (EWGS) met today, Thursday 28 January 2016, to review the level of world cocoa bean stocks. The EWGS is composed of experts in the cocoa field who meet once a year, at the invitation of the ICCO, to review and analyse the results of the ICCO’s annual survey of cocoa stocks held in warehouses worldwide. The survey is conducted every year since 2000 and aims to improve transparency in the cocoa market.

The result of the latest survey showed that world cocoa bean stocks rose to 1.505 million tonnes as at the end of the 2014/2015 cocoa year (30 September 2015), representing stock levels at 3,000 tonnes higher than the previous year. This result appeared to show a smaller supply surplus than the one published by the ICCO in November 2015 in its latest Quarterly Bulletin of Cocoa Statistics (QBCS), estimated at 36,000 tonnes for the 2014/15 season.

 

Location of cocoa bean stocks 30 September
2014
30 September
2015
Difference
(year-on-year)
   (thousands of tonnes)
(thousands of tonnes)  (thousands of tonnes)
STOCKS IN COCOA IMPORTING COUNTRIES 1,021 1,111  89
of which:      
Europe 677 763  86
Licensed US warehouse stocks                  254 244 -10
       
STOCKS IN COCOA PRODUCING COUNTRIES 413 316 -97
       
COCOA BEANS IN TRANSIT 68 78  11
       
TOTAL ESTIMATED 1,502 1,505   3
WORLD COCOA BEAN STOCKS (ICCO survey)   
       
Total world stocks (statistically-derived) QBCS 1,565 1,601  36

Totals and differences may differ due to rounding

 

The EWGS would like to note that caution should be exercised in the interpretation of the difference between the results of the survey and the statistically derived stocks.

The ICCO Secretariat maintains, so far, its supply surplus estimate of 36,000 tonnes for 2014/15 as published in its latest QBCS, and to be revised only in its next Bulletin due at the end of February 2016, taking into account the outcome of this survey.

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